Course Title : Hydrologic Design and Management

Code 10F464
Course Year Master and Doctor Course
Term 1st term
Class day & Period Fri 2nd
Location C1-191
Credits 2
Restriction No Restriction
Lecture Form(s) Lecture
Language Japanese
Instructor Yasuto TACHIKAWA

Course Description

Methods for hydrologic design and real-time rainfall-runoff predictions are described. The frequency analysis of hydrologic extreme values and the time series analysis of hydrologic variables are described, and then the methods to set the external force for the hydrologic design are explained. Next, a physically based hydrologic model which includes the process of human activities for the hydrologic cycle is described. In addition, the predictive uncertainty for the hydrologic simulation is introduced. A flood control planning and water resources management with the use of innovative hydrologic simulation tools is described. Then, the climate change and the relation to the hydrologic design are discussed. A real-time rainfall runoff prediction method with the use of Kalman filter theory is described.

Grading

Examination and report

Course Goals

The class aims to understand the statistical analysis and time serried analysis of hydrologic variables to set the external force of hydrologic designs, applications of hydrologic simulations for hydrologic designs, and real-time rainfall and runoff prediction methods for water resources management.

Course Topics

Theme Class number of times Description
Introduction 1 A flood control planning and water resources planning are introduced.
Frequency analysis and hydrologic design 3 The frequency analysis of hydrologic extreme values is described. The methods to set the external force for the hydrologic design are explained.
Time series analysis and hydrologic design 3 The time series analysis of hydrologic variables is described. The methods to develop time series models, time serried data generation methods, spatiotemporal variation of hydrologic variables and a random field model, disaggregation methods are explained.
Hydrologic modeling and predictive uncertainty 2 Hydrologic models which include the process of human activities for the hydrologic cycle is described. Then, hydrologic predictive uncertainty is explained, which is inevitable coming from model structure uncertainty, parameter identification uncertainty and model input uncertainty. Especially, the relation between spatiotemporal scales of hydrologic modeling and model parameter values is described.
Hydrologic modeling system 1 A hydrologic modeling system which helps to develop complicated hydrologic simulation models and its importance for a flood control planning is also described.
Climate change and hydrologic design 1 Data analysis of the latest GCM simulation is presented and the possible changes of hydrologic extremes and hydrologic design are discussed.
Real-time rainfall runoff prediction 3 A real-time rainfall runoff prediction method with the use of Kalman filter theory is described.
Feedback of study achievement 1 Feedback of study achievement is conducted.

Textbook

Textbook(supplemental)

Prerequisite(s)

Basic knowledge of hydrology, probability and statistics are required.

Web Sites

http://hywr.kuciv.kyoto-u.ac.jp/lecture/lecture.html

Additional Information